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sydney alternative media - non-profit community independent trustworthy
Sunday, 16 September 2007
Sunday free to air tv political talkies: Rudd does a stripped back Iemma style election launch with no Morris?
Mood:  caffeinated
Topic: indigenous

Picture: Protesters at Premier Morris Iemma's election launch in early 2007, concerned about a state govt overdevelopment in the sensitive seat of ...Bennelong. Meanwhile  Howard swears to stand by Bennelong

 

 

Author’s general introductory note (skip this if you know this regular weekly column):

 

 

 

 

This is not a well packaged story. It’s a contemporaneous traverse of the Sunday television free to air political talkies indicating the agenda of Establishment interests: Better to know ones rivals and allies  in Big Politics and Big Media.

 

 

 

 

Indeed it’s the tv version monitoring task similar to what Nelson Mandela refers to here in his book Long Walk to Freedom (1994, Abacus) written in Robben Island prison (where he was meant to die like other African resister chiefs of history in the 19C), at page 208

 

 

 

 

“..newspapers are only a shadow of reality; their information is important to a freedom fighter not because it reveals the truth, but because it discloses the biases and perceptions of both those who produce the paper and those who read it.”

 

 

 

 

Just substitute ‘Sunday tv political talkie shows’ for "newspapers" in the quote above.

 

 

 

For actual transcripts go to web sites quoted below except with Riley Diary on 7. And note transcripts don’t really give you the image content value.

 

 

 

Media backgrounder 

 

 

 

We noticed on the vision last night Rudd, and the night before, with no NSW State Premier within cooee, perhaps to avoid protesters like those pictured above. Or here below at the ALP National Conference. Pesky protesters about real stuff. Don't they know they didn't pay for the best democracy money can buy:

 

- On reflection it looks like Ruddy (Rudd's bold challenge)

is trying to spook the Coalition about the proximity of the election, they being  on tenderhooks if and when Newspoll dumps on PM Howard next Tuesday 18th Sept and his backbench really stares at the political abyss for real. More here via The Curmudgeon (we do love)

  • Alan Ramsey: PM bowled over by the bright side of life
  • - Fallout for the Iemma/Howard law and order tub thump after APEC continued to dribble in the suburban freebies via front pager sympathetic to the protesters in the Earlwood/Canterbury Valley Times Sept 13 07, and News Ltd owned The Glebe at page 7 13 Sept picture story re Daniel Jones prominent in SBS Dateline coverage pre big rally, and an impressive young bloke too.

     

    - Which calls up the NSW Police Media Unit prize for Talking Turkeys in the The Media supplement, inhouse media industry bible:

     

    - Speaking of jelly backs, we notice Jeff Angel director of Total Environment Centre oft in the news seems to have found his voice regarding cosy secretive govt committee processes (eg renewable energy), and seems indeed to be singing like a bird about Part 3A repeal of planning and environmental protections (a prominent lead letter in the SMH a week or two back: See Rule rides roughshod over community voices in decision-making ... signing for some 50 groups as distinct from say the 120 member groups of the Nature Conservation Council and non aligned groups like Greenpeace and this writer's small network). Angel is often on abc radio and Stateline last Friday here in NSW (By Any Other Name ) again attacking the ALP State govt. But it all looks too little too late and face saving to this writer as regards Angel's past collaboration.

     

    It seems too much of a coincidence such new found back bone coming after SAM here writing a withering, and we think accurate piece about Angel's 10 year history of giving comfort to the Carr led ALP in NSW (he famously wrote in the SMH in 2002 that Carr was the greenest premier in the history of Australia). Yet Angel's complaints now source from Carr's governance (including Carr's Part 3A) and Angel helping achieve such a disastrous majority for Carr in 1999 and 2003:

     

    Thursday, 16 August 2007

     

     

     

    This process no doubt self aggrandised Angel's status and role, but at the immeasurable expense of the NSW and Australian environment in terms of land clearing (about 2M ha in NSW alone), woodchipping (at least 10M tonnes natural forest onging in NSW, 80M nationally) especially in East Gippsland but exported out of Eden, cyanide mines at Timbarra and Lake Cowal, failure to really deliver a 'green' Olympics, and any number of other depredations. And that's not counting corrupted governance of the NSW ngo green sector itself. Just ask Noel Plumb ex CEO of National Parks Assocation and a swathe of mid rank green campaigners. Angel till now has been the Howard of the NSW green movement. Ruthless. Which is why the Green Party is an essential contrast.

     

    - Surprisingly turgid article by James Woodford, Jeff Angel protege and NSW ALP groupie about how to write fiction - for 10 year olds? p53, August 26 2007 Sun Herald. Woodford has been absent Fairfax media for quite a few months now.

     

    - Naomi Klein has a very tightly written piece in the Good Weekend presently, updating what JK Galbraith called the "military industrial complex" which bleeds the social services budget of the USA dry to promote it's "disaster economy" as Klein denotes it. How true. Some stats - in 2001 there were 2 security oriented lobby firms in the USA and in mid 2006 there were 543 linking legislators to venture capital. Another - as of December 2006 there were 205 of 245 that could be tracked out of a total of 360 released from Gitmo had been totally cleared by their home countries of any terrorism. She laments the commercialisation of security for lacking real democratic rigour, but methinks JK Galbraith sadly has been here before too.

     

    - Same Good Weekend has a funny piece on Shrek, err IR Minister Joe Hockey who prefers to "observe pain" not live pain, hence the hard days work on the back of a quad bike looking at the view? Quite obviously a spoiled youngest child and cowardly about his real wet liberal values under the Howard regime. Sad really.

     

    - Amusing to notice the Daily Telegaph acknowledging Howard's "hubris" in the Saturday editorial after the PM has put a daisy cutter through the Liberal Party organisation such that he owns all good news and thus still a 49% personal approval rating. All it signifies is he will be last to drown, such that Warren's cartoon has Howard as a toss up "can't win with/without him" on a coin. Truth to tell Howard is a tosser.

     

    - Not that Rudd is less so if Mike Steketee in his book review "The Steel in Rudd" Australian Literary Review July 4 2007 p10 is to be believed" "determined ....innate conservatism ... humility ... didn't come naturally ....accepts where power lies ....never challenged anything [as a student] ... pragmatic". A perfect PM for a convict/survivor society?

    - AAP story in Resources within Career section of the Australian every week p10 sept 15 re Robert Purves's Environment Business Australia re binding targets on climate change.

     

    Meet the Press

    Hockey IR minister with compere Paul Bongiorno. Displays his Howard loyalty despite Sunday Age story Speculation won't peter out about Costello ascension still quite possible this Tuesday re next Newspoll.

     

    Avuncular Joe but mostly waffle.

     

    First adbreak IR advert by unions against Howard extreme system, they say.

     

    Jennifer Hewitt now with The Australian, and Mark someone Adeliade Advertiser both News Ltd folks.

     

    Good question re Joe happy to be fall guy on IR? He really does look like Shrek. Amusing but is it ministerial? Not really.

     

    Hewitt drives in the nails on Costello/Howard oscilliations as per disturbing vivisection cartoon by Moir yesterday.

     

    Saturday, September 15, 2007.

     

    Next guest is John Conner who in fact is aspiring ALP politician like Peter Garrett by the judge of the funding sources, Carr involvement in same Climate Institute, just as Carr used forest protection to drive a wedge on Liberal National Party in NSW then trashed them like this at Badja 2007, which Conner helped to facilitate when CEO of NSW Nature Conservation Council, hand in glove with ... Jeff Angel.

     

    Footage of Garrett claiming hypocrisy. Ironic given his own failure on Tas pulp mill.

     

    Conner sings a slick song re Kyoto, like a lawyer looks at the questioner?, not the camera so all we are seeing is a profile. Now to front with panel. Strong grasp of his subject, and progressive setting. Handles Hewitt bouncer easily. Very fluid talker, even a little haughty (before a fall?).  Looks and sounds like ALP pollie material after this interview. After the wedge has worked, with not one less coal mine. Camera out take has chatting going strong because climate change really is the wedge despite piss weak ALP, and inevitable post election sleaze - like the Tas pulp mill (subject of a Sydney) conference Balmain Town Hall yesterday.

    Transcript in due course www.ten.com.au/meetthepress

     

     

     

     

    7 Weekend Sunrise, 8.35-40 am Riley Diary  -

     

     

    Howard leadership, Python allusion we used earlier this week, very gross and bloody re only a flesh wound, blood spirting from stump(s). "Your a looney". 'Team work' with cartoon music.

     

    Savage satire. Frightening politics.

     

    Again Don Bradman allusion we also have sledged, team won but he got a duck and footage of Howard lousy bowling style.

     

    Q & A Howard stay on backbench is incredulous.

     

     

     

     

    http://www.seven.com.au/sunrise/weekend

     

     

     

    Insiders 2

     

    Julia Gillard as Deputy Opposition leader is talent. Trawls Coalition leadership travails notes uncertainty point as the real crux of the problem for Howard, Costello and Coalition generally.

     

    Claims Costello in lock step with Howard, worse on IR, lack policy like ALP as per question time in Parliament last week. Vote for Rudd is really a vote for him. Declines Carr triumphalism.

     

    Panel Fran Kelly (abc radio national), Glen Milne (News Ltd) both very acute. Misha Schubert Age also clever.

     

    The 'Howard/Costello leadership' - co joined - "Coward leadership" is the Glen Milne line, ouch.

     

    Misha also reckons Costello is more problematic for the ALP with Howard’s measure.

    Similar to 9 slow mo deconstruction of the  power transfer, as the big power cogs turn from Howard to Costello in the minds of hundreds of thousands of viewers in a mind meld with the show’s script, and not pushed but holding hands, like Oakes and Costello on 9 at roughly the same time similarly taking hundreds of thousands of viewers.

    Very interesting, not seen such a consensus in footage in real time before.

     

    Milne says PM is being airbrushed out of local MP campaigns according to his advice. Fran Kelly says Coalitino morale down. Tips housing affordability policy emergence. Misha schubert quietly says policy emergence on early childhood. And Milne says Textor Cosby will meet on when to call election (? not sure I got that).

     

     

     

    Home page is http://www.abc.net.au/insiders/

     

     

    Sunday 9

     

    Costello with Laurie Oakes. Diumvirate? Costello leaves open he can be drafted, words show he won’t challenge if newspoll is bad on Tuesday. Won’t break his word to  Howard to run with him as his deputy. But if Howard loses his job, he has to reconsider obviously. He will be released from that word as his bond.

    Costello sings the govt (ie his own) virtues on economic credentials.

    LO teases out the confusing situation of who has finality on policy settings.

    LO coauthor policies? Costello labours responses around Treasurer costing as usual and team work. Mouths all the words but sounds very problematic.

    LO, supporters worry PC will be tainted if lose the election. PC says that’s the way it works in Cabinet system.

    It’s a slow pace scary dangerous interview you can hear the rusty cogs of changeover from Howard to Costello turn against age and time and grime for lack of use. But turn they do.

    Costello livens up what he stands for, strong economy, education, enfranchising people etc etc. Fluid, positive lively animated.

    LO uses co-prime minister tag, Costello doesn’t blink and answers accepting the tag. The slow big cog turns another half wheel.

    Costello goes on with his economic soliloquy re future funding etc.

    LO delicately asks what he would do as prime minister. Costello again answers accepting the tag, as ostensible prime minister. The big cog turns another half wheel. Like backing a giant truck into a narrow drive. They both look at eachother knowingly at the transfer of power symbolism on the screen.

    Last week poll had 59% surprisingly vote Howard should stand down as PM.

    Feature story on alcohol drugs.

     

     

    http://sunday.ninemsn.com.au/sunday/default.asp


    Posted by editor at 8:34 AM NZT
    Updated: Friday, 18 January 2008 11:08 AM EADT
    The Composter #1 (unauthorised) newsletter for Addison Rd Community Centre
    Mood:  lyrical
    Topic: independent media

    The Composter #1 Sept 07 – a newsletter for Addison Rd Community Centre (ARC) visitors only fit for the composter … after reading of course. Circulation - 200

     


    Adios General Manager Ian Laird, overall good job

    Ian resigned last Wed 12/9. On his watch of 18 months we noticed:

    - new water tanks (4)

    - new access paths (2) and crossings (2)

    - new ute, no more unregistered dodgies on site

    - functional website for the ARC – google ‘Addison Rd Centre’

    - new computer server

    - normalising lease rentals on pro rata area basis

    - new pocket gardens

    - mulching and more mulching and more …

    - new anchor tenancy Children’s Services Central

    But perhaps best of all the weakening of the ‘old boy culture’ as one female tenant implied last week while TC trawled the compost.

    ARC still needs a sense of humus

    There’s a new composter at ARC near hut 28 and Conservation Volunteers.  Hooray.  It’s a 2.5m long, 1.5m wide brute. Bring it on eg bay 2 and 3. Be proud of your compost. Embrace the inner compost. ARC has lost top soil for decades. Time to stop, nay reverse this sadness with mulch and other measures like better gutters, swales (bumps) to slow run off, new turf blah blah.

    Fruit and veg dumpers … we know where you live

    Last Sunday rotting fruit and veg was dumped at ARC. Dumping is not composting which requires layering and covering. If we catch you we will have to compost you. But worse it rotted for 4 days. Hello, grounds staff? 15 minute job on a Monday do yer think?

    Market visitors – ‘you vill separate your waste’

    Okay so the world is going to hell in a handbasket. Let’s ignore that and get our own market waste on track while enjoying great food and coffee and fun stuff. TC is going to guide and advise visitors to SEPARATE THEIR WASTE this Sunday at the market. God be merciful.

    Did you know?

    The ARC is not owned by Marrickville Council. It’s a state govt lease of some 3.4ha for 50 years with 42 tenants with a community board. Yes it does have an MC rep and 2 MC tenants but it’s only a strand of many. ARC is also the epitome of parish pump, aspirant pollies like moths to the flame, lovable, and disgraceful can of worms, Sometimes all at once. It also belongs to YOU dear reader.

    ARC governance – always a moving feast

    Some hotties

    - Are the Board meeting minutes online and available to the public like Local Councils do? If not why not?

    - Who indeed is the editor of the ARC website these days? Name, rank, serial number? Any history with ARC at all?

    - Who will malcontents and crazies have to beat up now stabiliser Ian Laird has taken his bat and ball to greener fields? May God be with you new GM.

    - who is/ not paying rent? Fair trade for social capital? Who decides?

    - Who really decides what goes on the big street sign?

    AGM season is approaching again, don’t you worry about that, chook.

    We hear it's in October sometime but how would you know? Who will have the conch in 2008? The Don and his Ethnic Praetorian guard? The Meredith Burgman All Stars? The Struggling Greens? The Maddies at TC. Or the fixers and straights? Ain’t democracy grand.

    ARC needs a café weekdays

    The ARC needs a café. We have studied the question for years. It should be open from 11 till 2, Tues-Fri as a trial. It could be a mobile cart, or even the old tool shed. Visitors want a refreshment and sit down neutral space. All the tenants have their own kitchenette so they don’t mix, share, synthesise or time out as much as they could/should for greater effectiveness. So obvious, like composting but a hurdle still. We remember no lines in the carpark was normal once too.

    Memo PM Howard – ‘let me have fat and sleek men around me, Cassius has a lean and hungry look’

    Got a cute story?

    Call us on  0410 558838 and you can contribute to next month’s compost pile.


    Posted by editor at 8:29 AM NZT
    Updated: Monday, 17 September 2007 8:50 PM NZT
    Friday, 14 September 2007
    It's not the 'Howard Haters' but conservative media that tips the balance to Costello
    Mood:  chatty
    Topic: election Oz 2007

     

    Costello is not the problem for the Govt that the ALP can so readily exploit as a negative given his strong economic reputation (right or wrong), the real downer for the govt and why the polls will go south again soon, and why the so called ALP 'attack' tv adverts (but really fair critique) will work is that this PM is indecisive. When will this PM retire, why won't he commit to 3 years, why can't he be certain (as McKew points out) for such an important job?

    Howard flushed out on the devastating polling, is too cute to claim in parliament yesterday an honest virtue by admitting he will retire, when it is really a necessity (despite contrast with ALP premiers keeping their plans quiet until retirement day - eg Beattie), and this 'virtue' doesn't really wash or resonate because those ALP premierships were not relinquished for age driven reasons, or fatal govt polling reasons, or covert defacto Cabinet meetings. 

    And the PM's job is the big cheese by comparison to the premiers and he really controls the money in our democracy. 

    That's why indecision is far more fatal at that level. People know the States are the smaller game/dynamic by comparison, but PM of the country has to be safe, secure, reliable, not indecisive, uncertain, aging, or as the Sydney Telegraph put it ...dithering. 

    In conclusion, it's the uncertainty, not Costello, that is the Govt's problem. Senator Joyce is right - Costello is stereotyped as the unpopular Treasurer but such a mould is made to be broken, and one wit in that electorate pointed out PC hasn't been "tested" because he's not in the chair for real - the same logic Howard uses to claim polls will bounce once it's the election for real.

    Which alternative 'reality' the Coalition Party room believes will decide their fate as Government and/or Opposition. Howard's plea to keep hold of their "political understandings" flies in the face of the real polls which have stabilised against him, and along with that the broadsheet flagship of News Ltd. Thus the Coalition have the shock on the head from their own side of conservative media, now reality must follow ... but how long will it take? Methinks the defacto Cabinet meeting in Downer's hotel room shows in their hearts they know. And Howard surely knows too. 

    Howard going doesn't have much to do with being a Howard Hater as Alan Jones claimed this morning on 2GB (read above re the distinction between retiring premiers versus retiring PMs). The message to go is from diverse quarters and it's real. Howard is ill suited to a new generation of problems not least dangerous climate change, emergence of China as an economic collosus, reform of the federation etc. You can't 'fatten a pig on market day'.

    When your rivals like MP Julia Gilliard start praising your earlier career on East Timor and gun controls by way of contrast with your later career say of attacking workers conditions (despite no electoral mandate) to vainly champion the interests of big business on so called lack of pace on real 'reform', well everyone can see the poor governance, that Howard is tired and needs to let go. You need to let go John. The hardest thing and the wisest thing.


    Posted by editor at 10:47 AM NZT
    Updated: Friday, 14 September 2007 9:13 PM NZT
    Thursday, 13 September 2007
    Howard feeds the leadership/polling crocodile, to eat him next
    Mood:  accident prone
    Topic: election Oz 2007

     

    You know that old fable about never feeding a crocodile because they are always hungry? Once you start you just have to keep feeding it until the hand itself is inside the jaws and the rest quickly follows.

    The Greens/greenies know the metaphor well because it's what the two major parties say about offering appeasing policy on say forest protection: The Greens are never satisfied and the crocodile will just want more forest to lock up after that. That's Wilson Tuckey with that acute comment, because yes the Greens do want a sustainable society, and there's nothing wrong with that either. Bob Carr called it the wolves with lambent eyes looking up for more chunks of meat after the meal seconds earlier (of some forest protection). Tuckey/Carr - same resource politicians in essence.

    But today in the current politics de jour the crocodile is the damning polling against vain old man John Howard. The unchanging crushing reality of that polling means Howard has to appease the change/succession merchants in his own party .... to buy time. 

    Last week Howard reacted to that reality by sending trusty Alex Downer into the midst of the issue, just like he surely sent Geof Cousins/Heffernan into the midst of the Tas pulp mill issue to get control of it again, Howards agents pissing in opponents pockets while always supporting resource extraction his whole life.

    This week Howard aka Rodent has glared down an open challenge, and when that didn't kill the crocodile, has fed the toothy beast a big chunk of meat today with an undefined, unreliable, unbelievable retirement sometime in the next 3 years. He won't even retire from Bennelong, maybe pulling strings still like the Mufti from Lakemba?

    Howard's got no clothes. The Newspoll next Monday/Tuesday is the next act in this tragedy evolving into farce. Beazley was in the news yesterday saying Howard has until end of the week. 

    The next group of polls will be Pythonesque - it's only a flesh wound, blood spurting from the stump.

    ..................................................

    Postscript #1

    Minister Joe Hockey is on the abc AM show this morning 13th Sept 2007 with some real howlers:

    1. universal support in the Cabinet for Prime Minister Howard - clearly not the case, expedient convenience given he won't go quietly. In other words papering over a huge chasm of disagreement, a brave face, for mutual self preservation of credibility in the short term.

    2. John Howard is 'the Don Bradman of Australian Politics' - how vain is that? There was only one Don Bradman and Howard is not past Menzies by quite a way yet. Further Bradman was bowled out for a duck in his last innings short of a test 100 batting average. So it may not be the most helpful metaphor. All the polls are clear - Howard may well be out for a duck next election innnings, or a very low score.

     

    Additionally, the more prominent Peter Costello is this next 4 days attacking the ALP Opposition, when combined with a bad poll for Howard next Tuesday, as well as Morgan etc before that, and the precursors for an execution of Howard's prime ministership will all be in place for real.

    The backbench and Cabinet will have no reason to not just make the change and start rebuilding the electoral prospects of the Government on credible climate change, on extracting ourselves from Iraq, on dumping the 25 nuke reactors agenda, reconciliation values and sundry other dodgy Howard policies.

    Postscript #2 14th Sept 2007

    Costello is not the problem for the Govt, that the ALP can exploit as a negative given his strong economic reputation (right or wrong), the real downer for the govt and why the polls will go south again, and why the so called 'attack' tv adverts (but really fair critique) will work' is that this PM is indecisive. When will he retire, why won't he commit to 3 years, why can't he be certain (as McKew points out) for such an important job?

    Howard now flushed out, can expediently claim in parliament yesterday an honest virtue (by contrast with ALP retired premiers keeping their plans quiet until the day - like Beattie recently), but it doesn't really wash or resonate because those jobs were not relinquished for age driven reasons, or fatal govt polling reasons. And the PM's job is the big cheese by comparison really controlling the money in our democracy. 

    That's why indecision ii far more fatal at that level. People know the States are the smaller game/dynamic by comparison, but PM of the country has to be safe, secure, reliable, not indecisive, uncertain, aging, or as the Sydney Telegraph put it ...dithering. 

    In conclusion, it's the uncertainty, not Costello that is the Govt's problem. Barnaby Joyce is right - Costello is stereotyped as unpopular Treasurer but such are made to be broken, and one wit in that electorate pointed out PC hasn't been "tested" because he's not in the chair for real - the same logic Howard uses to claim polls will bounce once its the election for real.

    Which version the Coalition believes will decide their fate, even as an Opposition. Howard's plea to keep hold of their "political understandings" flies in the face of the polls which have stabilised against him, and along with it the broadsheet flagship of News Ltd. Now the Coalition have the shock on the head from their own side of conservative media, reality must follow ... but how long will it take? Methinks the defacto Cabinet meeting in Downer's hotel room shows in their hearts they know. It doesn't have much to do with being a Howard Hater as Alan Jones claimed this morning on 2GB (read above re the distinction between retiring premiers versus retiring PMs).

     


    Posted by editor at 9:47 AM NZT
    Updated: Friday, 14 September 2007 10:45 AM NZT
    Wednesday, 12 September 2007
    Howard is a dead duck Prime Minister now
    Mood:  a-ok
    Topic: election Oz 2007

    Problem for winning Libs is that you ought not listen to cocky certainty of proven losers. Downer as sacked federal leader mid 90ies, Fahey March 1995 (despite an Olympics and saving Prince Charles from a madman), Hewson who lost the so called "unloseable election" in 1993.

    The Liberal Party should get real. Howard's vanity is there for all to see. Rudd has been practicising how to be humble and is not so set in his ways a la climate change etc.

    And speaking of which issue Hewson says 'climate change is the greatest challenge for Australia for decades if not centuries' [really he said that, an issue Costello tried to run via Cabinet in 2003], and that he didn't support Howard taking Australia into Iraq.

    Well onya John, like your style, the sincere feral abacus and all that, but hey that's a very tepid endorsement for vain old man Howard, who will 'have to be carried out in a pine box'. You said it Abacus. You are describing an old man consumed by the ring of power.

    Dangerous to all. Hope the Libs can do "the execution" as Christian Kerr noted on News Radio 630 earlier today. The future of the country probably depends on it to some degree.

    ..................................

    Image from Crikey.com.au to 40K subscribers 11th Sept 07 follows here

    ................................................
    Postscript #1 1pm 12th Sept 2007

    Nothing and everything changes after the lengthy party room meeting of the Liberal and then joint Coalition Party today:

    There is no formal challenge to Howard's leadership after cunning pre emption of post APEC challenge by sending Downer into the Cabinet's midst and finding out the mindset, and who is really pushing against him, to be prepared.

    If there had been an APEC riot he wouldn't need the real politik insurance but better to be sure: Send Alex into the flock to see who were wolves under wool.

    But there is a price to be paid:

    1. Everyone on the backbench, in the media, in the political community now knows there was a majority of Cabinet who support Howard resigning and all that implies, as per reports of a cosy gathering last Thursday or so in Downer's hotel room during the APEC 'gabfest';

    2. The next devastating flatlining Newspoll is in 5 days time, Monday night if memory serves, once every two weeks. The same polling evidence that prefaced the current leadership crisis of confidence felt by former political client ministers and backbenchers within the Coalition, will only be reinforced ...most likely ...in 5 days time.

    3. According to the history of these things the first phase is the evidence of a geniuine significant shift in sentiment. We have seen that now at point 1 formal vote or not. The second act is the actual execution. In five days time after the next Newspoll?

    4. Counter to this scenario is the claim that internal Party polling by Cosby Textor shows the Howard Coalition are actually in striking distance 46-54 in some critical marginals like Eden Monaro. It hardly seems pursuasive though with general polling in the annihilation range of 42 - 58 or worse 40 - 60. The odd Eden Monaro doesn't withstand a tsunami like that. There are a hell of a lot of other backbenchers on fine sensory alert now besides just Gary Nairn.

    Quack quack ... erk.

    Postscript #2 7.30 am 13th Sept 07

    Howard feeds the leadership crocodile, to eat him next

    You know that old fable about never feeding a crocodile because they are always hungry? Once you start you just have to keep feeding it until the hand itself is inside the jaws and the rest quickly follows.

    The Greens/greenies know the metaphor well because it's what the two major parties say about offering appeasing policy on say forest protection: The Greens are never satisfied and the crocodile will just want more forest to lock up after that. That's Wilson Tuckey with that acute comment, because yes the Greens do want a sustainable society, and there's nothing wrong with that either. Bob Carr called it the wolves with lambent eyes looking up for more chunks of meat after the meal seconds earlier (of some forest protection). Tuckey/Carr - same resource politicians in essence.

    But today in the current politics de jour the crocodile is the damning polling against vain old man John Howard. The unchanging crushing reality of that polling means Howard has to appease the change/succession merchants in his own party .... to buy time. 

    Last week Howard reacted to that reality by sending trusty Alex Downer into the midst of the issue, just like he surely sent Geof Cousins/Heffernan into the midst of the Tas pulp mill issue to get control of it again, Howards agents pissing in opponents pockets while always supporting resource extraction his whole life.

    This week Howard aka Rodent has glared down an open challenge, and when that didn't kill the crocodile, has fed it a big chunk of meat today with an undefined, unreliable, unbelievable retirement sometime in the next 3 years. He won't even retire from Bennelong, maybe pulling strings still like the Mufti from Lakemba?

    Howard's got no clothes. The Newspoll next Monday/Tuesday is the next act in this tragedy evolving into farce. Beazley was in the news yesterday saying Howard has until end of the week. 

    The next group of polls will be Pythonesque - it's only a flesh wound, blood spurting from the stump.


    Posted by editor at 11:49 AM NZT
    Updated: Thursday, 13 September 2007 11:52 AM NZT
    Tuesday, 11 September 2007
    Will vain Howard be forced out at govt party room meeting 12 Sept 07?
    Mood:  energetic
    Topic: election Oz 2007

    Picture: Environment Minister, but more significantly former federal treasurer for the organisational wing of the Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull meets with John Howard PM breifly on the floor of Federal Parliament today 11th Sept 2007. Turnbull is claimed in reports on abc radio to have been urging the PM to reconsider his position. Turnbull's office in turn denies this. Ditto Foreign Minister Downer. No questions from the Rudd ALP opposition on any leadership instability to Howard in Question Time today either, which actually could be a smart tactic as Howard is very counter suggestive by reputation and its in the interests of the ALP to let the Govt stew.

    Story

    Any self respecting lawyer in the Coalition Govt will be disgusted that PM Howard would give unqualified support to 200 police who deliberately refused to wear ID badges at an APEC protest recently.

    That is the slippery slide to real fascism and political abuse of power in a Prime Minister.

    To seek to forgive the rule of law on our police force as distinct from applying in full measure only to protesters is way beyond the pale.

    Now Sky News at 9.30 am today has put up a kite that two Cabinet MPs Turnbull and Downer have calculated the electoral equation against vain old man Howard staying as leader, soaked as he is in corrupt power lust, not goals of good governance as such.

    The Coalition being slaughtered might be the dream of the ALP and many of the public too but it's not good for democracy, which has suffered here in NSW for a huge win to the ALP. The ALP do abuse their power in due course.

    It is the obligation of the broad Coalition Party room to defend the sustainability of the party in Parliament according to their own lights, as best they can. Quite objectively too there must be a sustainable Opposition to preserve a functioning Parliament.

    If Howard is leading them over a cliff to a landslide that just is not in the national interest to keep the ALP honest.

    Time to start rebuilding the prospects of the Coalition even from the perspective of Oppositional politics.

    The ABC World Today is running the leadership quandary as the lead and the word is Howard's "selfish" nature (which we interpret as vanity of an old man) is cruelling their whole party. The PM's enormous centralisation of power has effectively cannabalised his credibility. Endorsing cruel force of 200 unbadged police is just the latest symptom.

    20 points polling differential under his leadership is real and only getting bigger.

    So any leadership change isa all in real time now, just as ex national Liberal Party President Valder has the microphone, with the spark into a flame like a bushfire on total fire ban day in the height of summer.

    ......................

    More circumstantial evidence here too in the pages of today's conservative newspaper The Australian which in sum is like a death notice for Howard, indirectly:

    It's all there in the articles in the Oz today. Let me read the paper for you like a Coalition MP, because its their paper, seriously:

    1. the front pager - "Rudd to confront states on pokies" builds on cracking 4 Corners last night (Kuring gai 1 pokie per 1000 popn, Bankstown something like 15 per 1000 ie poor people/ALP seats getting screwed by ALP parasites). A strong policy initiative that every Coalition MP would agree with to their very moral core. A real heart breaker in the belief in their own sides comparative edge on things that matter.

    2. Beattie is the other main story, showing how to quit by example, very very telling.

    3. Bottom page 1, Howard will never give up power voluntarily story.

    4. page 2 variations on the theme above

    5. Native title agreement in Qld p3, the modern Australia agenda, not Howard's

    6. Pulp mill dogma shared by Howard trashed p4

    7. page 6 Beattie again full page, how it's done by example, eschewing the lust for power

    8. Ditto page 7 only Bligh as woman leader, again feeding perception ALP is modern to have a female leader, not the past social norms of Howard

    9. page 8, APEC - in sum, not specifically, a fizzer electoral launch strategy Howard tried to cook for 3 years but no banana. He's not everyone's Daddy anymore.

    10. page 9-10 irrelevant world stories re election here, bar one re Patreas report hedging in Iraq disaster, Brits want out of Basra, just like ALP again.

    11. p11, Beattie again, damn it. But also devastating acute APEC piece by Louise Evans with nasty sting, Howard tried to censor questions at his last presser at APEC. Ouch ouch ouch. Power gone to his head really.

    12. p12 Bill Leak gallows humour cartoon crystal ball taboo message, Opinion pieces by in house and invited, 'Too little, too late, PM', and 'For the sake of Howard's legacy/Costello ...must be ...Liberal leader' and 'Rudd Mandarin speech'

    13. p13 letters headline "To remain in the leadership will only be seen as obstinancy"

    That is not so much a hint, as a coppers baton on the head from The Australian to the Coalition Party Room. After the shock, reality will follow ...


    Posted by editor at 7:09 PM NZT
    Water bills set to rise up to $130 per year for all property owners to fund desal white elephant
    Mood:  rushed
    Topic: nsw govt

    Public meeting on this Wednesday at University of Technology Sydney, access via Harris St Ultimo (ABC side) of the building. 


     


    Posted by editor at 11:08 AM NZT
    Kevin Rudd has a problem in NSW and its name is Morris Iemma?
    Mood:  sharp
    Topic: election Oz 2007

    With due respect to Ian Rintoul of the Stop Bush Coalition organising team we submit the 99.99% of civil society peaceful supporters on the Saturday rally and march are not VICTIMS of dictatorial police brutality or police state tactics. Including bookseller Bob Gould and other elderly folks blocked from exiting Hyde Park North in some of the vision. What we say is the rally marchers are in fact SURVIVORS of police state tactics, not victims, and thankyou Black Australians for the survival conceptual framework.

    Indeed we suggest gratitude is in order to thank Morris 'Mussolini' Iemma, and John 'Adolf' Howard for their extraordinary endorsement in total of the police behaviour including 200 unbadged proto fascists, no disrespect to the 3,300 other decent coppers used as pawns in a cynical political game:

    PM hails 'brilliant' police tactics

    More fool these mainstream political 'leaders' for contradicting what every fair minded person at the rally itself, and those who read page 7 of the Sydney Morning Herald on Monday, and community media here, will now know too:

    Identity parade of the secret police

     

    And isn't the community media flourishing, sprouting everywhere on YouTube, ARTV footage, news websites etc. This Premier's credibility is going south every hour and day since Saturday with all those dubious road blocks miles from restricted and declared APEC zones, and despite the fixers in some Big Meeja.

    We should thank these two, Morris Iemma and Howard, for truly revealing their dictatorial tendencies over democracy. Ironically it feeds Howard's attack on Rudd ALP as dictators if they hold every state and federal govt. No wonder JH was encouraging MI and 'Benito' Scipione [NSW police commissioner] to pre emption, forward interventions 'before something got out of
    control'. It's Howard's own justification for invasion over non existent WMD in Iraq - burning the village to save the village. 600K deaths later there are some misgivings. Great thinking that. Grand Catholic morality that. Actually gutter governance like Benito Mussolini himself of WW2 infamy. What we wonder does Iemma senior feel about that in his own 'quality' son the Premier?

    A forward looking self defence - there's a word for that - its
    called fascism against otherwise lawful activity, for real. Iemma reveals that in his disgusting urban
    development decisions as well like the 3A repeal of the Environmental
    Planning Act (eg another big coal mine and Enfield intermodal late last week). The 'premier' is thus unfit to serve and a proto fascist,
    and so are the ALP in NSW. Beattie resigning today as a marcher against
    Joh in the 70ies must be very embarrassed by Iemma authorising 200
    black op police. Never have the ALP been so shameful as Iemma
    yesterday, and it's an eloquent justification of a third group in
    politics via an independent The Greens.

    You can't fool all the people all the time: There were 10,000 decent
    beautifiul people at that march including Chris Brown's mother. Who
    will talk to another 10 and on and on. They will be mortified and
    aggrieved by Iemma. And they probably voted for him one way or the
    other. But will they again? A good day for The Greens I should think. A
    bit of a NSW problem for Rudd though.

    And after the scathing column by Miranda Devine about this

     

    , the NSW Opposition Leader Barry OFarrel could well support a Parliamentary Inquiry into poor justice governance from a centre right position of ethical law and order, of rule of law for police and protesters.

    No less than the Washington Post correspondent pointed out on ABC radio that this was a very atypical security performance for George W Bush, including post 9/11 WTC mass murder.

    Lisa Miller as compere on morning ABC radio was also incredulous that Premier Morris Iemma had absolutely no criticism of 200 unbadged police, despite being evidence of an illegal intent, and contrary to Police Commissioner standing orders.

    And another big question arising from the successful SBC march and rally.

    Who were AWOL at that proud protest activity against 1. the Iraq War 2. dangerous climate change policy settings/nuke energy 3. attack on workers rights??

    1. The CFMEU were missing. And my union the ASU. And their state Labor Council Secretary John Robertson usually no slouch on
    community rallies.

    2. The Iemma ALP in NSW were 'missing' although actually represented in a hostile way by Scipione's police

    3. Kevin Rudd for the federal ALP or his representative was missing too.

    And therein we can see who actually believes in and has faith in grassroots democracy, real civil society democracy, and who are hierarchical bullies whether Coalition or ALP.

    More here: Call for inquiry into clash that felled photographer

    Lastly for those who do feel traumatised or annoyed we recommend some therapy like this - a visit to the Chullora Wetlands project of the South West Environment Centre who were granted a 5 year lease last Sunday by Sydney Water Authority. That's good governance we could have alot more of do yer reckon?


    Posted by editor at 9:10 AM NZT
    Updated: Tuesday, 11 September 2007 5:52 PM NZT
    Sunday, 9 September 2007
    Sunday tv political talkies, 10K citizens tell W Bush, Howard to f*ck off, Ministers electioneer
    Mood:  caffeinated
    Topic: election Oz 2007

     

     

    Author’s general introductory note (skip this if you know this regular weekly column):

     

     

    This is not a well packaged story. It’s a contemporaneous traverse of the Sunday television free to air political talkies indicating the agenda of Establishment interests: Better to know ones rivals and allies  in Big Politics and Big Media.

     

     

    Indeed it’s the tv version monitoring task similar to what Nelson Mandela refers to here in his book Long Walk to Freedom (1994, Abacus) written in Robben Island prison (where he was meant to die like other African resister chiefs of history in the 19C), at page 208

     

     

    “..newspapers are only a shadow of reality; their information is important to a freedom fighter not because it reveals the truth, but because it discloses the biases and perceptions of both those who produce the paper and those who read it.”

     

     

    Just substitute ‘Sunday tv political talkie shows’ for "newspapers" in the quote above.

     

     

    For actual transcripts go to web sites quoted below except with Riley Diary on 7. And note transcripts don’t really give you the image content value.

     

     

     

    Meet the Press

     

    Press round up – none focus on successful Sydney protest because there is no pro Establishment riot story – pathetic really.

     

    Guest is Foreign minister Downer, with heavy talent on the panel Michelle Grattan and Mal Farr of Age and Daily Telegraph respectively. Heavy weights indicate leadership skids are real, subtext is Downer is Howard man.

     

    Talks up Howard resilience.

     

     

    Downer claims dubious climate police from leaders APEC meeting [as enforceable as one of those Russian contracts against corrupt business there?! ].

     

    Downer slags Greens for wanting to save Oz forests too.

     

    Animation shows Howard Downer wanting to escape Iraq.

    First adbreak has the brunette Barbara Bennett pro Govt IR advert with blather.

     

    2nd half of show is mostly self referential blather – no tough leadership probing.

     

    As camera closes out and music rolls  protagonists pick up the threads and Mal Farr launches a big double handed flourish a bit like John Travolta on Saturday Night Fever. WTF?

     

    Transcript in due course www.ten.com.au/meetthepress

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    7 Weekend Sunrise, 8.35-40 am Riley Diary 

     

     

     

     

    Footage of APEC meeting proper, none of the protest.

     

    Fascinating footage of Riley with first question to W Bush at the first press conference, noting concrete and steel barriers. Bush knows Howard picked Riley for the honour of first question because he has the highest rating network (and highest gallery pay rate?).

     

    The most intense aspect was the charming deference of Riley’s facial expressions but the hard as steel content of his words about the “inconvenience” to quote W Bush – who got it straight up and was “maybe feeling guilty” noting “protesters who might be violent” playing firmly into John Howard’s law and order, Daddy Party electioneering tactic against the memory of a Feb 2003 peace rally that condemned him in Sydney, and did again yesterday.

     

    W Bush fixed an unblinking, rattlesnake look of executioners practised power of death at Riley totally unconcerned by this brazen serious attack on W Bush from Australia's domestic side of politics which was a mosquito bite on W Bush’s Modern Roman Empire side of global real politik.

     

    But you did good Mark Riley, you did good for self and profession. Looking into the volcano of Mordor and living to work another day in your gallery. Not a hint of nerves except perhaps “didn’t mean to blame you personally sir”. Ouch. That’s exactly what you did mean to do. As per Sunday Talkies 7 days ago – “Sydney is not looking very free for the Leader of the Free World” is what you said Riles, God love yer. You are no Chris Reason, that’s for sure.

     

    http://www.seven.com.au/sunrise/weekend

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Insiders 2

     

    Lead in re Rudd success at APEC and Howard leadership problems.

     

    Jim Middleton wrap up of  conference, missed the start of it. How quickly Sydney return to normal? 3,500 police to stand down soon etc.

     

    Cross to Mark Vaile – increase forests by 20M ha [NSW by comparison is 80M ha in size] so yes it’s a big area. ….transcript. Parts of country have to accept permanent drought. Earnest blather.

     

    Missed a lot more BUT Vaile dodges if PM Howard should quit, question on no poll jump from APEC? Again claims boost and sledges Rudd as if he is already the PM, sounding like a carping Opposition and negative.

     

    Sings the loyal song for Howard, which is really loyalty to National Party agrarian socialist boondoggles via Howard.  Tired boring 10 minutes interview with so called Deputy PM.

     

    Paul Kelly, Rudd gatecrashed APEC said with a smile. Rudd “will make a fairly effective Prime Minister”.

     

    Kelly says Howard will lead govt to the election [echoes Oakes on 9].

     

    Footage of PM Howard claiming climate change Sydney Declaration contrary to lead story abc 7.45 am radio news. Lenore Taylor AFR says grievously misled on Sydney APEC – feeds into vain and dishonest. Taylor savages him, really gets on her high horse, big damaging spray.

     

    Panel – Toohey says trivial. Bolt even trashes Liberal Party “air of unreality”. Crazy. Voters are bored by global warming. Taylor disagrees. But Bolt sound that won’t sell for Howard – not credible champion – derr the pulp mill, tas forests etc etc.

     

    APEC observations – Big gas deal, security updates/trilaterals, chaser stunt, Rudd mandarin, Bush curious language, footage as per 10 MTP. Toohey speaks sense on China needing to trade more, stop saving so much distorting currency markets.

     

    Security expense $170M value for money? NSW police disturbingly collecting names of people against Iraq War, says Toohey. Bolt notes G20 trouble means justified. Bolt goes quietly while making his point. By and large peaceful by Taylor. Bolt gets it wrong SBC predicted 10,000 not 20K as he claimed. It was Police who said 20K but overall intent is gracious to protest civil society groups – that’s some achievement in the political dynamic. Rain kept numbers down or adverse police publicity.

     

    Polling 58-42 trend still going toward ALP, extraordinary result.

     

    Bolt savages Liberals air of denial fat complacency. Footage of Costello not serious, not real. Gap so big won’t turn around much in the campaign says Taylor. Bolt nodding but also concerned

     

    Bolt says Downer after MTP should do his duty and change the leader “today”.

     

    Lots of chat, Bolt correctly notes Chinese dictator Hu deserved a lot of protest but didn’t get very much, but actually Falung Gong did go at China all week but not so much Saturday so yes and no.

     

     

    Home page is http://www.abc.net.au/insiders/

     

     

    Sunday 9

     

    Neslon as Defence minister with Oakes at 9am already about Howard leadership skids, in particular. Bland as batshit and not very trustworthy either. A spiv if ever there was.

     

    Ellen Fanning stand alone compere, starting from 8am now?

     

    Long interview with Oakes. Softy spoken merciless focus on the hard questions. Both know its playing for power keeps now, no time or energy for theatrics. Just the facts Maam.

     

    Nelson’s grey hair burgeoning. Big play on Al Qaeda killed Australians in Bali – actually it was JI. ASIO tipped off by CIA prior to Bali bombing as per report in The Australian early 2007?

     

    Sounds like a carping negative Opposition to ostensible PM Rudd.

     

    Big arts story re Paul Getty Museums with Oz manager, polo extreme sport story.

     

     Adverts x 2, nurses against federal govt IR laws.

     

    Ciao Pavarotti.

     

    http://sunday.ninemsn.com.au/sunday/default.asp

     

     

     

     


    Posted by editor at 10:54 AM NZT
    Updated: Monday, 10 September 2007 6:27 PM NZT
    Saturday, 8 September 2007
    Collage of Stop Bush Coalition march in Sydney CBD Sept 8th 2007
    Mood:  special
    Topic: peace

     

     

     


    Posted by editor at 9:34 PM NZT
    Updated: Saturday, 8 September 2007 11:48 PM NZT

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